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October 26, 2026

US stock futures climbed ahead of a Federal Reserve rate decision and earnings from Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon.

What happened

Equity futures rose Wednesday, adding roughly 500 billion dollars to market value, as investors positioned for the Fed's policy statement. The central bank's decision and guidance on the path of interest rates is the dominant catalyst, arriving at the same time as quarterly results from three of the largest technology companies. The moves signal markets expect a supportive or dovish outcome from the Fed.

Why it matters

The Fed sets the price of money, which ripples into everything from the dollar to the cost of capital for high-growth firms. A signal that rates will stay higher for longer hurts the present value of future earnings, hitting tech valuations directly. Simultaneous earnings from Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon will confirm whether the biggest companies in the index are still growing into that pricing, making this a concentrated moment of revaluation.

The case against

A rate hold is widely anticipated, so the futures bounce could be a minor relief move that fades. If the Fed's language stays firmly restrictive while tech earnings show only steady growth, the 500-billion-dollar gain could reverse sharply.

What settles it

The dot plot summary of Fed members' rate projections and the three companies' forward revenue guidance.

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