Deere & Company (DE) on Decifer

Why it ranks here

• Its returns on invested money are modest, around 7%.
• Revenue is expected to grow about 8% a year, profits are expected to grow 23%, and growth is speeding up, not slowing down.
• It keeps a healthy share of every sale as profit, and that has stayed steady over the years, a sign of real pricing power.
• It sits in a part of the market we are watching.
• It is not watering down its owners with new shares and it returns cash to shareholders.
• It trades about 38% above similar companies, and its growth does not yet back up that price.

The current read

The evidence on DE lines up on the supportive side: trading volume is unusually heavy as the stock rises today, so the move has real participation. The independent signals we track are telling the same story.

Themes

• Precision Agriculture & Food Security: Arable land per person keeps falling while food demand rises, so yield has to come from equipment, seed genetics and fertilizer efficiency rather than from more acres, and food security has become a stated policy goal in the largest importing countries.

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